Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NUE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$425.57
Method range
$82.73 – $425.57
median $182.61
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $425.57 | +67.29% |
| Exit multiple | $124.36 | -51.12% |
| Analyst target | $240.86 | -5.32% |
| Graham number | $82.73 | -67.48% |
- Forward DCF$425.57
- Exit multiple$124.36
- Analyst target$240.86
- Graham number$82.73
Stock price
$254.39
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.98
3Y FCF CAGR
-40.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.10
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
54.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -23033.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-40.1%
Your model implies
54.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -40% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 50.8% | 50.2% | 49.5% | 48.9% | 48.1% |
| 13.1% | 53.2% | 52.7% | 52.1% | 51.4% | 50.8% |
| 14.1% | 55.6% | 55.0% | 54.5% | 53.9% | 53.3% |
| 15.0% | 57.6% | 57.1% | 56.6% | 56.1% | 55.5% |
| 15.0% | 57.6% | 57.1% | 56.6% | 56.1% | 55.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.14
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Nucor (NUE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation