Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NUE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$415.28
Method range
$82.73 – $415.28
median $195.82
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $415.28 | +76.04% |
| Exit multiple | $137.77 | -41.60% |
| Analyst target | $253.88 | +7.62% |
| Graham number | $82.73 | -64.93% |
- Forward DCF$415.28
- Exit multiple$137.77
- Analyst target$253.88
- Graham number$82.73
Stock price
$235.90
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.98
3Y FCF CAGR
-40.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.10
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
53.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -21,439.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-40.1%
Your model implies
53.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -40% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 50.1% | 49.5% | 48.9% | 48.2% | 47.5% |
| 13.3% | 52.5% | 51.9% | 51.3% | 50.7% | 50.1% |
| 14.3% | 54.7% | 54.2% | 53.7% | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| 15.0% | 56.3% | 55.9% | 55.3% | 54.8% | 54.3% |
| 15.0% | 56.3% | 55.9% | 55.3% | 54.8% | 54.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.14
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.86B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.92
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Nucor (NUE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.33% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.95% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History9 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.