NVDA dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
NVIDIA (NVDA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.02), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NVDA sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 3, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.02
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.02 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.59% | +0.98pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.10% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 1 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
Dividend
$0.25
Per-event yield
0.12%
Annualized yield
0.13%
Previously paid
Jun 4, 2026 ($0.25)
Last record date
Jun 4, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 26, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for NVIDIA (NVDA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.39% | $214.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.18% | -4.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.01 | 0.62% | $184.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.06% | -2.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.01 | 1.13% | $179.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.17% | +0.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.01 | 1.33% | $177.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.03% | -0.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.01 | 0.45% | $143.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +1.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.01 | 4.93% | $108.76 | 1 | yes | yes | 3.79% | +8.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.01 | -0.02% | $145.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.59% | -5.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.01 | -0.06% | $116.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.16% | +0.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.01 | -0.02% | $121.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.08% | +11.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.04 | 0.04% | $85.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +7.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | -0.09% | $45.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.53% | +4.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | -0.23% | $48.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.49% | -6.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | 0.70% | $38.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +11.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.04 | 0.21% | $23.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.31% | +2.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | 0.38% | $15.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.26% | +3.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | 0.67% | $13.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.31% | -2.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | -0.69% | $18.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -19.02% | -12.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.04 | 1.19% | $23.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.05% | -1.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | 1.65% | $32.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -16.62% | -2.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | 0.04% | $22.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.66% | -1.37% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 20 | 100% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with NVDA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NVDA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.09%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+1.90%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+867.08%
Best event
+0.30%
Worst event
+0.01%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NVDA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.01% | |
| +0.12% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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