NVIDIA (NVDA) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2.5% | -7.3% | -1.6% | +14.4% | +5.8% | -2.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | -10.6% | +4.0% | -13.2% | +0.5% | +24.1% | +16.9% | +12.6% | -2.1% | +7.1% | +8.5% | -12.6% | +5.4% |
| 2024 | +24.2% | +28.6% | +14.2% | -4.4% | +26.9% | +12.7% | -5.3% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +9.3% | +4.1% | -2.9% |
| 2023 | +33.8% | +18.8% | +19.7% | -0.1% | +36.3% | +11.9% | +10.5% | +5.6% | -11.9% | -6.3% | +14.7% | +5.9% |
| 2022 | -16.7% | -0.4% | +11.9% | -32.0% | +0.6% | -18.8% | +19.7% | -16.9% | -19.6% | +11.2% | +25.4% | -13.7% |
| 2021 | -0.5% | +5.5% | -2.6% | +12.5% | +8.1% | +23.2% | -2.5% | +14.9% | -7.5% | +23.4% | +27.8% | -10.0% |
| 2020 | +0.5% | +14.5% | -2.4% | +10.8% | +21.6% | +7.0% | +11.7% | +26.0% | +1.2% | -7.4% | +7.0% | -2.5% |
| 2019 | +7.3% | +7.9% | +16.2% | +0.9% | -25.2% | +21.4% | +2.7% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +15.5% | +8.0% | +8.3% |
| 2018 | +27.0% | -1.6% | -4.4% | -2.8% | +12.1% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +14.7% | +0.1% | -25.1% | -22.1% | -18.3% |
| 2017 | +2.3% | -6.7% | +7.2% | -4.1% | +38.5% | +0.0% | +12.4% | +4.5% | +5.3% | +15.7% | -2.8% | -3.4% |
| 2016 | -11.1% | +7.5% | +13.6% | -0.3% | +31.9% | +0.9% | +20.9% | +7.9% | +11.3% | +4.2% | +30.5% | +15.4% |
| 2015 | -4.2% | +15.3% | -5.1% | +6.1% | +0.2% | -9.1% | -0.8% | +13.2% | +9.7% | +15.1% | +12.2% | +3.9% |
| 2014 | -2.0% | +17.6% | -2.6% | +3.1% | +3.3% | -2.4% | -5.6% | +11.6% | -5.1% | +5.9% | +7.8% | -4.4% |
| 2013 | +0.0% | +3.9% | +1.3% | +7.3% | +5.6% | -3.0% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +5.5% | -2.4% | +3.3% | +2.7% |
| 2012 | +6.6% | +2.6% | +1.6% | -15.6% | -4.4% | +11.2% | -2.0% | +3.6% | -4.9% | -10.2% | +0.6% | +2.4% |
| 2011 | +55.3% | -5.3% | -18.5% | +8.3% | +0.2% | -20.5% | -13.2% | -3.8% | -6.0% | +18.3% | +5.6% | -11.3% |
| 2010 | -17.6% | +5.3% | +7.4% | -9.7% | -16.4% | -22.3% | -10.0% | +1.5% | +25.3% | +2.9% | +13.2% | +13.2% |
| 2009 | -1.5% | +4.1% | +19.1% | +16.4% | -9.1% | +8.2% | +14.5% | +12.3% | +3.5% | -20.4% | +9.2% | +43.0% |
| 2008 | -27.7% | -13.0% | -7.5% | +3.8% | +20.2% | -24.2% | -38.9% | +10.5% | -15.3% | -18.2% | -14.7% | +8.0% |
| 2007 | -17.2% | +1.1% | -7.2% | +14.3% | +5.3% | +19.3% | +10.8% | +11.8% | +6.3% | -2.4% | -10.9% | +7.9% |
| 2006 | +23.0% | +4.8% | +21.5% | +2.1% | -21.4% | -7.4% | +4.0% | +31.5% | +1.6% | +17.8% | +6.1% | +0.1% |
| 2005 | -2.7% | +26.5% | -18.0% | -7.7% | +23.6% | -1.4% | +1.3% | +13.4% | +11.7% | -2.1% | +7.8% | +1.1% |
| 2004 | -4.1% | +0.0% | +18.7% | -22.3% | +14.3% | -12.7% | -24.7% | -19.2% | +16.5% | -0.3% | +32.2% | +23.2% |
| 2003 | -10.3% | +22.3% | +2.1% | +10.8% | +83.4% | -12.5% | -16.7% | -4.8% | -12.1% | +10.7% | +20.1% | +9.3% |
| 2002 | -1.7% | -22.4% | -13.0% | -21.5% | -3.9% | -48.7% | -35.6% | -8.7% | -15.3% | +39.0% | +44.0% | -32.8% |
| 2001 | +57.6% | -13.4% | +45.3% | +28.3% | +2.8% | +8.3% | -12.8% | +4.7% | -35.1% | +56.0% | +27.5% | +22.4% |
| 2000 | -21.0% | +72.7% | +32.0% | +5.5% | +28.0% | +11.4% | -5.6% | +32.3% | +3.1% | -24.1% | -34.8% | -19.1% |
| 1999 | — | +15.5% | -3.7% | -13.6% | -6.5% | +12.1% | +5.2% | +39.8% | -31.6% | +14.9% | +56.5% | +35.6% |
| Avg | +3.4% | +7.4% | +4.7% | +0.4% | +10.9% | -0.9% | -1.5% | +7.7% | -1.9% | +5.5% | +9.8% | +3.3% |
| Median | -1.5% | +4.5% | +1.5% | +1.5% | +5.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +5.6% | +1.6% | +5.9% | +7.8% | +2.7% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +6.6% | +8.7% | +6.2% | -4.3% | +18.7% | +9.2% | +7.0% | +0.7% | -6.0% | +9.2% | +11.9% | -3.1% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 21.2% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.16 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 0.50 | -0.05 | -0.10 | 0.56 | -0.14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| Win Rate (%) | 41% | 68% | 54% | 57% | 75% | 48% | 52% | 74% | 59% | 59% | 78% | 63% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲11▼16 | ▲19▼9 | ▲15▼13 | ▲16▼12 | ▲21▼7 | ▲13▼14 | ▲14▼13 | ▲20▼7 | ▲16▼11 | ▲16▼11 | ▲21▼6 | ▲17▼10 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲4▼4 | ▲5▼2 | ▲3▼2 | ▲4▼3 | ▲7▼2 | ▲3▼5 | ▲5▼5 | ▲7▼3 | ▲6▼3 | ▲4▼3 | ▲8▼2 | ▲8▼3 |
| Best | +57.6%in January 2001 | +72.7%in February 2000 | +45.3%in March 2001 | +28.3%in April 2001 | +83.4%in May 2003 | +23.2%in June 2021 | +20.9%in July 2016 | +39.8%in August 1999 | +25.3%in September 2010 | +56.0%in October 2001 | +56.5%in November 1999 | +43.0%in December 2009 |
| Worst | -27.7%in January 2008 | -22.4%in February 2002 | -18.5%in March 2011 | -32.0%in April 2022 | -25.2%in May 2019 | -48.7%in June 2002 | -38.9%in July 2008 | -19.2%in August 2004 | -35.1%in September 2001 | -25.1%in October 2018 | -34.8%in November 2000 | -32.8%in December 2002 |
−48.7%+83.4%
2026
Jan+2.5%
Feb-7.3%
Mar-1.6%
Apr+14.4%
May+5.8%
Jun-2.8%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan-10.6%
Feb+4.0%
Mar-13.2%
Apr+0.5%
May+24.1%
Jun+16.9%
Jul+12.6%
Aug-2.1%
Sep+7.1%
Oct+8.5%
Nov-12.6%
Dec+5.4%
2024
Jan+24.2%
Feb+28.6%
Mar+14.2%
Apr-4.4%
May+26.9%
Jun+12.7%
Jul-5.3%
Aug+2.0%
Sep+1.7%
Oct+9.3%
Nov+4.1%
Dec-2.9%
2023
Jan+33.8%
Feb+18.8%
Mar+19.7%
Apr-0.1%
May+36.3%
Jun+11.9%
Jul+10.5%
Aug+5.6%
Sep-11.9%
Oct-6.3%
Nov+14.7%
Dec+5.9%
2022
Jan-16.7%
Feb-0.4%
Mar+11.9%
Apr-32.0%
May+0.6%
Jun-18.8%
Jul+19.7%
Aug-16.9%
Sep-19.6%
Oct+11.2%
Nov+25.4%
Dec-13.7%
2021
Jan-0.5%
Feb+5.5%
Mar-2.6%
Apr+12.5%
May+8.1%
Jun+23.2%
Jul-2.5%
Aug+14.9%
Sep-7.5%
Oct+23.4%
Nov+27.8%
Dec-10.0%
2020
Jan+0.5%
Feb+14.5%
Mar-2.4%
Apr+10.8%
May+21.6%
Jun+7.0%
Jul+11.7%
Aug+26.0%
Sep+1.2%
Oct-7.4%
Nov+7.0%
Dec-2.5%
2019
Jan+7.3%
Feb+7.9%
Mar+16.2%
Apr+0.9%
May-25.2%
Jun+21.4%
Jul+2.7%
Aug-0.5%
Sep+3.8%
Oct+15.5%
Nov+8.0%
Dec+8.3%
2018
Jan+27.0%
Feb-1.6%
Mar-4.4%
Apr-2.8%
May+12.1%
Jun-6.1%
Jul+3.4%
Aug+14.7%
Sep+0.1%
Oct-25.1%
Nov-22.1%
Dec-18.3%
2017
Jan+2.3%
Feb-6.7%
Mar+7.2%
Apr-4.1%
May+38.5%
Jun+0.0%
Jul+12.4%
Aug+4.5%
Sep+5.3%
Oct+15.7%
Nov-2.8%
Dec-3.4%
2016
Jan-11.1%
Feb+7.5%
Mar+13.6%
Apr-0.3%
May+31.9%
Jun+0.9%
Jul+20.9%
Aug+7.9%
Sep+11.3%
Oct+4.2%
Nov+30.5%
Dec+15.4%
2015
Jan-4.2%
Feb+15.3%
Mar-5.1%
Apr+6.1%
May+0.2%
Jun-9.1%
Jul-0.8%
Aug+13.2%
Sep+9.7%
Oct+15.1%
Nov+12.2%
Dec+3.9%
2014
Jan-2.0%
Feb+17.6%
Mar-2.6%
Apr+3.1%
May+3.3%
Jun-2.4%
Jul-5.6%
Aug+11.6%
Sep-5.1%
Oct+5.9%
Nov+7.8%
Dec-4.4%
2013
Jan+0.0%
Feb+3.9%
Mar+1.3%
Apr+7.3%
May+5.6%
Jun-3.0%
Jul+2.8%
Aug+2.7%
Sep+5.5%
Oct-2.4%
Nov+3.3%
Dec+2.7%
2012
Jan+6.6%
Feb+2.6%
Mar+1.6%
Apr-15.6%
May-4.4%
Jun+11.2%
Jul-2.0%
Aug+3.6%
Sep-4.9%
Oct-10.2%
Nov+0.6%
Dec+2.4%
2011
Jan+55.3%
Feb-5.3%
Mar-18.5%
Apr+8.3%
May+0.2%
Jun-20.5%
Jul-13.2%
Aug-3.8%
Sep-6.0%
Oct+18.3%
Nov+5.6%
Dec-11.3%
2010
Jan-17.6%
Feb+5.3%
Mar+7.4%
Apr-9.7%
May-16.4%
Jun-22.3%
Jul-10.0%
Aug+1.5%
Sep+25.3%
Oct+2.9%
Nov+13.2%
Dec+13.2%
2009
Jan-1.5%
Feb+4.1%
Mar+19.1%
Apr+16.4%
May-9.1%
Jun+8.2%
Jul+14.5%
Aug+12.3%
Sep+3.5%
Oct-20.4%
Nov+9.2%
Dec+43.0%
2008
Jan-27.7%
Feb-13.0%
Mar-7.5%
Apr+3.8%
May+20.2%
Jun-24.2%
Jul-38.9%
Aug+10.5%
Sep-15.3%
Oct-18.2%
Nov-14.7%
Dec+8.0%
2007
Jan-17.2%
Feb+1.1%
Mar-7.2%
Apr+14.3%
May+5.3%
Jun+19.3%
Jul+10.8%
Aug+11.8%
Sep+6.3%
Oct-2.4%
Nov-10.9%
Dec+7.9%
2006
Jan+23.0%
Feb+4.8%
Mar+21.5%
Apr+2.1%
May-21.4%
Jun-7.4%
Jul+4.0%
Aug+31.5%
Sep+1.6%
Oct+17.8%
Nov+6.1%
Dec+0.1%
2005
Jan-2.7%
Feb+26.5%
Mar-18.0%
Apr-7.7%
May+23.6%
Jun-1.4%
Jul+1.3%
Aug+13.4%
Sep+11.7%
Oct-2.1%
Nov+7.8%
Dec+1.1%
2004
Jan-4.1%
Feb+0.0%
Mar+18.7%
Apr-22.3%
May+14.3%
Jun-12.7%
Jul-24.7%
Aug-19.2%
Sep+16.5%
Oct-0.3%
Nov+32.2%
Dec+23.2%
2003
Jan-10.3%
Feb+22.3%
Mar+2.1%
Apr+10.8%
May+83.4%
Jun-12.5%
Jul-16.7%
Aug-4.8%
Sep-12.1%
Oct+10.7%
Nov+20.1%
Dec+9.3%
2002
Jan-1.7%
Feb-22.4%
Mar-13.0%
Apr-21.5%
May-3.9%
Jun-48.7%
Jul-35.6%
Aug-8.7%
Sep-15.3%
Oct+39.0%
Nov+44.0%
Dec-32.8%
2001
Jan+57.6%
Feb-13.4%
Mar+45.3%
Apr+28.3%
May+2.8%
Jun+8.3%
Jul-12.8%
Aug+4.7%
Sep-35.1%
Oct+56.0%
Nov+27.5%
Dec+22.4%
2000
Jan-21.0%
Feb+72.7%
Mar+32.0%
Apr+5.5%
May+28.0%
Jun+11.4%
Jul-5.6%
Aug+32.3%
Sep+3.1%
Oct-24.1%
Nov-34.8%
Dec-19.1%
1999
Jan—
Feb+15.5%
Mar-3.7%
Apr-13.6%
May-6.5%
Jun+12.1%
Jul+5.2%
Aug+39.8%
Sep-31.6%
Oct+14.9%
Nov+56.5%
Dec+35.6%
Avg
Jan+3.4%
Feb+7.4%
Mar+4.7%
Apr+0.4%
May+10.9%
Jun-0.9%
Jul-1.5%
Aug+7.7%
Sep-1.9%
Oct+5.5%
Nov+9.8%
Dec+3.3%
Median
Jan-1.5%
Feb+4.5%
Mar+1.5%
Apr+1.5%
May+5.7%
Jun+0.0%
Jul+1.3%
Aug+5.6%
Sep+1.6%
Oct+5.9%
Nov+7.8%
Dec+2.7%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+6.6%
Feb+8.7%
Mar+6.2%
Apr-4.3%
May+18.7%
Jun+9.2%
Jul+7.0%
Aug+0.7%
Sep-6.0%
Oct+9.2%
Nov+11.9%
Dec-3.1%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan21.2%
Feb17.6%
Mar15.1%
Apr13.2%
May21.9%
Jun16.7%
Jul15.1%
Aug13.8%
Sep13.7%
Oct18.2%
Nov19.8%
Dec16.3%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.16
Feb0.42
Mar0.31
Apr0.03
May0.50
Jun-0.05
Jul-0.10
Aug0.56
Sep-0.14
Oct0.30
Nov0.50
Dec0.20
Win Rate (%)
Jan41%
Feb68%
Mar54%
Apr57%
May75%
Jun48%
Jul52%
Aug74%
Sep59%
Oct59%
Nov78%
Dec63%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲11▼16
Feb▲19▼9
Mar▲15▼13
Apr▲16▼12
May▲21▼7
Jun▲13▼14
Jul▲14▼13
Aug▲20▼7
Sep▲16▼11
Oct▲16▼11
Nov▲21▼6
Dec▲17▼10
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲4▼4
Feb▲5▼2
Mar▲3▼2
Apr▲4▼3
May▲7▼2
Jun▲3▼5
Jul▲5▼5
Aug▲7▼3
Sep▲6▼3
Oct▲4▼3
Nov▲8▼2
Dec▲8▼3
Best
Jan+57.6%2001
Feb+72.7%2000
Mar+45.3%2001
Apr+28.3%2001
May+83.4%2003
Jun+23.2%2021
Jul+20.9%2016
Aug+39.8%1999
Sep+25.3%2010
Oct+56.0%2001
Nov+56.5%1999
Dec+43.0%2009
Worst
Jan-27.7%2008
Feb-22.4%2002
Mar-18.5%2011
Apr-32.0%2022
May-25.2%2019
Jun-48.7%2002
Jul-38.9%2008
Aug-19.2%2004
Sep-35.1%2001
Oct-25.1%2018
Nov-34.8%2000
Dec-32.8%2002
−48.7%+83.4%
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