Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what OTIS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$107.48
Method range
$92.00 – $107.48
median $100.28
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $107.48 | +52.81% |
| Exit multiple | $100.28 | +42.56% |
| Analyst target | $92.00 | +30.79% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$107.48
- Exit multiple$100.28
- Analyst target$92.00
- Graham number—
Stock price
$70.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.98
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$12.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -478.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.2%
Your model implies
23.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -0% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| 8.3% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| 9.3% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| 10.3% | 27.1% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 24.4% |
| 11.3% | 29.3% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.94
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Otis Worldwide (OTIS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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