PCG dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 11 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
PG&E (PCG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 11 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PCG sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 29, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.07
TL;DR over the most recent 11 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.38 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.00% | +0.68pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.52% | +1.23pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.05
Per-event yield
0.29%
Annualized yield
1.04%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($0.05)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for PG&E (PCG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.05 | -0.81% | $17.24 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.12% | -0.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.51% | $17.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.92% | +5.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | -0.19% | $16.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.23% | -1.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.03 | -0.40% | $15.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +7.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.03 | -0.21% | $13.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.65% | -2.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.03 | -0.18% | $17.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.00% | -5.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.03 | 0.05% | $20.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.81% | -4.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.01 | 0.50% | $19.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | -0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.01 | 0.17% | $17.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | -1.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.01 | 0.55% | $16.28 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.25% | +1.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.01 | 0.00% | $17.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | -0.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.82% | $67.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.04% | +2.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.48% | $67.04 | 15 | no | yes | -3.28% | -1.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.76% | $67.34 | 6 | no | yes | -2.29% | +0.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.74% | $61.18 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.11% | -0.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.76% | $62.85 | >30 | no | no | -7.40% | -5.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.71% | $63.17 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +4.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.62% | $58.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +0.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.46% | $53.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.56% | -1.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -1.25% | $52.92 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.88% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with PCG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PCG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.01%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-0.18%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-59.38%
Best event
+0.94%
Worst event
-5.74%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PCG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.86% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -5.74% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.94% | |
| -1.94% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.29% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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