Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PLD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$94.48
Method range
$36.92 – $145.57
median $100.31
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $94.48 | -34.63% |
| Exit multiple | $106.13 | -26.57% |
| Analyst target | $145.57 | +0.71% |
| Graham number | $36.92 | -74.46% |
- Forward DCF$94.48
- Exit multiple$106.13
- Analyst target$145.57
- Graham number$36.92
Stock price
$144.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.22
3Y FCF CAGR
13.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$30.40
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
35.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -375.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
13.3%
Your model implies
35.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 30.4% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
| 10.3% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.1% | 32.3% | 31.5% |
| 11.3% | 36.8% | 36.2% | 35.6% | 34.9% | 34.2% |
| 12.3% | 39.0% | 38.5% | 37.9% | 37.3% | 36.7% |
| 13.3% | 41.2% | 40.7% | 40.2% | 39.6% | 39.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$33.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Prologis (PLD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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