Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PNW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$109.94
Method range
$18.85 – $109.94
median $87.05
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $109.94 | +6.67% |
| Exit multiple | $72.10 | -30.04% |
| Analyst target | $102.00 | -1.03% |
| Graham number | $18.85 | -81.71% |
- Forward DCF$109.94
- Exit multiple$72.10
- Analyst target$102.00
- Graham number$18.85
Stock price
$103.06
EPS (TTM)
$5.36
5Y EPS CAGR
0.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$109.94
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-0.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 6.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.7%
Your model implies
-0.1%
Next-year analyst consensus
-11.6%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.3% | -4.6% | -6.0% | -7.8% | -10.1% |
| 5.8% | -0.9% | -1.9% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -5.9% |
| 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
| 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.86
Low vs growth
Net debt
$17.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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