RF dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Regions Financial (RF) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.43), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RF sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.30.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.43
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.43 | +0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.05% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.12% | +0.28pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.30
Per-event yield
1.07%
Annualized yield
3.48%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($0.27)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Regions Financial (RF). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.27 | -2.07% | $28.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.14% | +2.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -2.77% | $27.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.46% | -2.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -1.77% | $25.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +4.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -2.26% | $27.39 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.03% | -1.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -1.17% | $21.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.03% | +4.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.63% | $23.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.78% | -8.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.70% | $27.26 | >30 | no | no | -9.13% | -4.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -1.45% | $23.42 | 13 | no | yes | -8.92% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.57% | $19.35 | 15 | no | yes | -8.42% | -4.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.16% | $18.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +6.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.76% | $17.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.40% | +16.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.65% | $18.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.38% | -2.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | 0.58% | $17.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +8.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -1.79% | $21.76 | >30 | no | no | -35.94% | -13.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -1.53% | $21.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.65% | -1.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.92% | $21.67 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.92% | +3.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.65% | $21.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.03% | -1.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -2.32% | $22.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.12% | +4.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.81% | $22.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.57% | +1.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.60% | $20.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -2.29% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with RF's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical RF ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.52%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
-10.36%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+58.17%
Best event
+1.40%
Worst event
-13.56%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RF (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.84% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.93% | |
| -13.56% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.29% | |
| +1.40% | |
| +1.29% | |
| -4.75% | |
| -3.63% | |
| -4.70% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.95% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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