RL dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ralph Lauren (RL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.18), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RL sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 25, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.18
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.18 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.52% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.56% | +0.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$1.00
Per-event yield
0.24%
Annualized yield
0.91%
Previously paid
Jun 26, 2026 ($1.00)
Last record date
Jun 26, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ralph Lauren (RL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.68% | $410.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.44% | -3.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.91 | -1.34% | $333.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | +7.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.91 | -0.25% | $361.52 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.53% | -0.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.91 | 2.18% | $302.89 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.52% | +6.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.91 | 0.63% | $273.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.67% | +4.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.83 | -1.63% | $225.16 | 3 | yes | yes | -21.56% | -11.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.83 | -1.26% | $232.62 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +4.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.83 | 1.24% | $197.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.36% | -0.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.83 | -2.75% | $175.87 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.30% | +1.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | 0.82% | $182.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.24% | -6.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.34% | $145.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.37% | -1.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -0.48% | $115.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.24% | -2.01% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.21% | $122.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.71% | +1.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | 0.40% | $116.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | -3.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | 0.17% | $102.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.13% | +13.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -2.45% | $88.99 | 4 | yes | yes | -7.60% | +5.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -2.60% | $91.53 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.76% | +2.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.69 | -1.45% | $119.72 | >30 | no | no | -15.59% | -11.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.69 | -0.62% | $111.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.93% | +5.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.69 | 0.30% | $113.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.98% | -1.34% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with RL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical RL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.12%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-2.42%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+277.20%
Best event
+0.84%
Worst event
-11.88%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.61% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -11.88% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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