Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$604.97
Method range
$51.03 – $604.97
median $367.35
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $604.97 | +65.05% |
| Exit multiple | $298.92 | -18.45% |
| Analyst target | $435.78 | +18.89% |
| Graham number | $51.03 | -86.08% |
- Forward DCF$604.97
- Exit multiple$298.92
- Analyst target$435.78
- Graham number$51.03
Stock price
$366.55
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.54
3Y FCF CAGR
12.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$36.26
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
46.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -911.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.8%
Your model implies
46.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 42.8% | 42.0% | 41.1% | 40.2% | 39.2% |
| 10.5% | 45.5% | 44.8% | 44.0% | 43.2% | 42.3% |
| 11.5% | 48.0% | 47.4% | 46.7% | 46.0% | 45.2% |
| 12.5% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 49.2% | 48.6% | 47.9% |
| 13.5% | 52.8% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 51.1% | 50.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.39
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ralph Lauren (RL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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