Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$609.80
Method range
$51.03 – $609.80
median $368.63
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $609.80 | +57.51% |
| Exit multiple | $299.26 | -22.70% |
| Analyst target | $438.00 | +13.14% |
| Graham number | $51.03 | -86.82% |
- Forward DCF$609.80
- Exit multiple$299.26
- Analyst target$438.00
- Graham number$51.03
Stock price
$387.14
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.54
3Y FCF CAGR
12.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$36.52
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
47.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -960.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.8%
Your model implies
47.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | 43.5% | 42.7% | 41.8% | 40.9% | 39.8% |
| 10.4% | 46.2% | 45.5% | 44.7% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 11.4% | 48.8% | 48.1% | 47.4% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| 12.4% | 51.2% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 48.6% |
| 13.4% | 53.6% | 53.0% | 52.4% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ralph Lauren (RL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.