ROST dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ross Stores (ROST) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.10), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ROST sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 8, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.10
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.10 | -0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.17% | +0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.88% | +1.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
Dividend
$0.45
Per-event yield
0.20%
Annualized yield
0.74%
Previously paid
Jun 9, 2026 ($0.45)
Last record date
Jun 9, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ross Stores (ROST). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.45 | 0.69% | $227.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.57% | +3.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.11% | $209.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.83% | +0.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -0.49% | $178.19 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +2.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.84% | $151.57 | 14 | no | yes | -5.40% | -3.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -0.65% | $142.16 | >30 | no | no | -11.86% | -8.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | -1.00% | $125.54 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +2.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -0.10% | $156.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.02% | -3.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | 0.11% | $150.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | -0.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | -0.62% | $144.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +2.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | 0.44% | $147.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.08% | +0.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.48% | $132.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +2.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | 0.16% | $121.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.22% | -2.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | 0.02% | $103.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +3.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -1.22% | $104.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.31% | -1.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.99% | $119.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.55% | -1.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | 0.26% | $88.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +7.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | 0.24% | $82.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.81% | -9.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | 0.60% | $87.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +4.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 1.41% | $110.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -0.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.90% | $116.96 | 14 | no | yes | -4.72% | -2.67% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with ROST's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ROST ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.50%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-10.01%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+102.27%
Best event
+0.37%
Worst event
-8.94%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ROST (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.67% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.32% | |
| -8.94% | |
| -3.11% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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