Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ROST is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$40,796.08
Method range
$30.10 – $40,796.08
median $219.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $40,796.08 | +17,026.10% |
| Exit multiple | $180.01 | -24.43% |
| Analyst target | $259.89 | +9.10% |
| Graham number | $30.10 | -87.36% |
- Forward DCF$40,796.08
- Exit multiple$180.01
- Analyst target$259.89
- Graham number$30.10
Stock price
$238.21
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.97
3Y FCF CAGR
19.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$111.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -114.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.6%
Your model implies
30.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 26.1% | 25.1% | 23.9% | 22.6% | 21.2% |
| 8.1% | 29.0% | 28.1% | 27.2% | 26.1% | 25.0% |
| 9.1% | 31.7% | 31.0% | 30.1% | 29.2% | 28.3% |
| 10.1% | 34.2% | 33.6% | 32.8% | 32.0% | 31.2% |
| 11.1% | 36.6% | 36.0% | 35.4% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
28.32
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$618M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.88
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ross Stores (ROST) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.62% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.71% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.