Charles Schwab (SCHW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SCHW sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 7, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.13-0.17 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.13 | -0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.24% | +0.34pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.45% | +1.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
| Dividend | $0.32 |
| Per-event yield | 0.34% |
| Annualized yield | 1.33% |
| Previously paid | Feb 13, 2026 ($0.32) |
| Last record date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Feb 27, 2026 |
SCHW Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Charles Schwab (SCHW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.32 | -1.07% | $95.08 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.00% | -2.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.45% | $95.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | -4.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | 0.28% | $95.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +0.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | 0.25% | $84.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.89% | +5.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.02% | $81.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.43% | -1.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.40% | $73.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.05% | +10.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.64% | $62.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +4.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.54% | $76.40 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +2.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.30% | $62.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.20% | +3.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.18% | $54.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +1.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.08% | $65.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.83% | -8.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.84% | $47.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +9.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.29% | $80.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | -0.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.28% | $79.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.04% | -2.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 1.30% | $69.94 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.19% | +8.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.68% | $65.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.51% | -3.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.91% | $94.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -17.99% | -8.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.56% | $80.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +1.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.33% | $74.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.24% | -4.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -0.43% | $69.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.54% | +2.60% |
- -2.11%
- -4.80%
- +0.41%
- +5.44%
- -1.45%
- +10.55%
- +4.81%
- +2.47%
- +3.92%
- +1.86%
- -8.07%
- +9.36%
- -0.02%
- -2.51%
- +8.62%
- -3.47%
- -8.78%
- +1.02%
- -4.77%
- +2.60%
SCHW Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
SCHW Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SCHW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $64.00
- After-tax dividend
- $41.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$19.02
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$22.58
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~6.0%
SCHW Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SCHW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SCHW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.34% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.