SON dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Sonoco Products (SON) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.38), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SON sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 10, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.54.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.38
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.38 | +0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.87% | -0.45pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.88% | +1.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 30 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.54
Per-event yield
1.04%
Annualized yield
3.79%
Previously paid
May 8, 2026 ($0.54)
Last record date
May 8, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Sonoco Products (SON). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.54 | -0.72% | $51.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.22% | -8.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -1.02% | $57.08 | >30 | no | no | -9.67% | -2.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | -1.06% | $40.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.47% | +0.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -1.24% | $45.93 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.85% | +1.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.87% | $45.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +4.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | -1.08% | $47.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.72% | -0.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.43% | $51.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.36% | -1.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -1.01% | $49.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +3.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | -0.65% | $58.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +3.08% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.51% | $56.93 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.18% | $54.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +1.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.95% | $56.91 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.90% | -1.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -1.24% | $59.85 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.72% | -1.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.57% | $61.07 | 30 | no | yes | -6.14% | -2.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -1.17% | $58.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.36% | +2.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.32% | $61.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +7.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.74% | $60.92 | 21 | no | yes | -9.29% | -3.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -1.03% | $59.01 | 19 | no | yes | -6.51% | -3.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.36% | $60.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +2.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.29% | $63.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +3.46% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with SON's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SON ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.15%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+3.05%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-2.24%
Best event
+1.30%
Worst event
-3.78%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SON (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.71% | |
| +0.74% | |
| -3.34% | |
| -3.78% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.84% | |
| -2.49% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.30% | |
| -2.75% | |
| +1.04% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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