Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SON is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$439.62
Method range
$29.22 – $439.62
median $65.46
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $439.62 | +697.13% |
| Exit multiple | $69.92 | +26.77% |
| Analyst target | $61.00 | +10.61% |
| Graham number | $29.22 | -47.02% |
- Forward DCF$439.62
- Exit multiple$69.92
- Analyst target$61.00
- Graham number$29.22
Stock price
$55.15
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.38
3Y FCF CAGR
68.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$6,876.82
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
1.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
68.8%
Your model implies
1.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 69% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 5.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.1% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -5.8% | -8.2% |
| 5.4% | 0.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -3.8% | -5.8% |
| 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | -0.1% | -1.4% |
| 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.24
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.21B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Sonoco Products (SON) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.26% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.86% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.