Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SON is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$690.14
Method range
$23.43 – $690.14
median $64.37
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $690.14 | +1,353.24% |
| Exit multiple | $69.73 | +46.83% |
| Analyst target | $59.00 | +24.24% |
| Graham number | $23.43 | -50.67% |
- Forward DCF$690.14
- Exit multiple$69.73
- Analyst target$59.00
- Graham number$23.43
Stock price
$47.49
EPS (TTM)
$10.39
5Y EPS CAGR
14.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$690.14
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-19.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 93.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
14.2%
Your model implies
-19.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
-44.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -20.9% | -21.7% | -22.7% | -23.9% | -25.6% |
| 5.5% | -19.9% | -20.6% | -21.4% | -22.4% | -23.6% |
| 6.5% | -18.1% | -18.6% | -19.2% | -19.9% | -20.7% |
| 7.5% | -16.4% | -16.9% | -17.3% | -17.9% | -18.5% |
| 8.5% | -15.0% | -15.3% | -15.7% | -16.1% | -16.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Sonoco Products (SON) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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