SPGI dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
S&P Global (SPGI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SPGI sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 26, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.97.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.11
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.11 | -0.19 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.13% | +0.45pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.85% | +1.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.97
Per-event yield
0.23%
Annualized yield
0.93%
Previously paid
May 29, 2026 ($0.97)
Last record date
May 29, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for S&P Global (SPGI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.97 | -0.59% | $417.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.76% | -3.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.97 | 0.27% | $418.27 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.07% | +6.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.96 | 0.22% | $489.24 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +2.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.96 | -0.52% | $551.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.47% | -2.08% | |
| Q2 | $0.96 | -0.40% | $516.70 | 6 | no | yes | -2.85% | -0.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.96 | -0.18% | $533.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.10% | -1.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.91 | 0.20% | $520.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +0.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.91 | -0.34% | $502.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +2.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.91 | -1.10% | $431.00 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.67% | +1.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.91 | -0.36% | $438.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.85% | -2.72% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.65% | $415.10 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +2.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | 0.50% | $387.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.34% | +2.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -0.04% | $356.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.41% | +5.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | 0.83% | $346.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.43% | -1.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.85 | -0.90% | $358.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.07% | +0.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.85 | -0.26% | $375.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.03% | -6.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.85 | 0.57% | $347.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.29% | -3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.77 | 0.75% | $399.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.76% | -3.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.77 | -0.53% | $458.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.84% | +0.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.77 | -0.11% | $437.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.69% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with SPGI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SPGI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.18%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+3.65%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+0.98%
Best event
+0.26%
Worst event
-0.35%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SPGI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -0.35% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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