Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SPGI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$343.38
Method range
$105.21 – $670.83
median $445.74
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $343.38 | -19.10% |
| Exit multiple | $670.83 | +58.05% |
| Analyst target | $548.11 | +29.14% |
| Graham number | $105.21 | -75.21% |
- Forward DCF$343.38
- Exit multiple$670.83
- Analyst target$548.11
- Graham number$105.21
Stock price
$424.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.40
3Y FCF CAGR
5.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$56.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -656.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.0%
Your model implies
32.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 29.1% | 28.2% | 27.2% | 26.1% | 24.9% |
| 8.9% | 31.8% | 31.0% | 30.2% | 29.3% | 28.3% |
| 9.9% | 34.4% | 33.7% | 32.9% | 32.1% | 31.3% |
| 10.9% | 36.8% | 36.1% | 35.5% | 34.8% | 34.0% |
| 11.9% | 39.0% | 38.5% | 37.9% | 37.3% | 36.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.92
Low vs growth
Net debt
$12.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.08
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
S&P Global (SPGI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation