Ticker League

Fair Value for S&P Global (SPGI)

See growth priced into S&P Global (SPGI): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what SPGI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$336.59

Above fair value
-27.47% vs current price $429.06

Method range

$105.21 $631.48

median $438.90

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$336.59
  • Exit multiple$631.48
  • Analyst target$541.22
  • Graham number$105.21

Stock price

$429.06

FCF / share (TTM)

$3.40

3Y FCF CAGR

5.0%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$55.03

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

33.4%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -679.7% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

5.0%

Your model implies

33.4%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.1%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)5%
3Y CAGR 5%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.1%29.6%28.7%27.8%26.7%25.5%
9.1%32.3%31.5%30.7%29.8%28.8%
10.1%34.8%34.2%33.4%32.6%31.8%
11.1%37.2%36.6%36.0%35.3%34.5%
12.1%39.5%39.0%38.4%37.7%37.1%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday35.6
5Y low32.7
Median37.6
5Y high53.4
P/SToday10.4
5Y low9.5
Median10.9
5Y high13.7
EV/EBITDAToday22.3
5Y low19.4
Median24.4
5Y high29.3

PEG

0.92

Low vs growth

Net debt

$12.5B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.08

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions