STAG dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
STAG Industrial (STAG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, STAG sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.39.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | -0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.24% | +1.59pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.39
Per-event yield
0.99%
Annualized yield
3.98%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($0.39)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for STAG Industrial (STAG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.39 | -1.84% | $39.16 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.89% | -0.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | 0.44% | $36.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +6.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.24% | $37.22 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.12% | +2.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.28% | $39.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | -1.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.54% | $38.54 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.34% | +1.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.00% | $34.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.54% | +4.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.22% | $36.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.83% | -0.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.06% | $34.93 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.46% | +0.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.50% | $36.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +0.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.89% | $35.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +2.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.79% | $32.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.20% | +2.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.28% | $35.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -19.61% | -10.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 0.22% | $35.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +3.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.73% | $34.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.28% | +0.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.30% | $33.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.41% | -1.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.11% | $37.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.14% | -3.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.13% | $37.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.60% | -1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.79% | $39.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.73% | -4.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.30% | $40.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.12% | -1.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.00% | $40.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.74% | -3.40% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with STAG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical STAG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.41%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+8.15%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+0.67%
Best event
+1.07%
Worst event
+0.30%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · STAG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +0.99% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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