Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.59), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TDS sits materially above the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 15, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.59+0.32 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.59 | +0.32 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.38% | +0.10pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.67% | -0.92pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.04 |
| Per-event yield | 0.09% |
| Annualized yield | 26.45% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($0.04) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
TDS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Telephone and Data Systems (TDS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.04 | 0.78% | $43.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.45% | -0.71% | |
| Q1 | $10.25 | -0.45% | $44.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.70% | +23.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | -0.23% | $38.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.83% | +5.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | 0.87% | $39.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.12% | -4.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | 1.21% | $33.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +7.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.04 | -0.74% | $35.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +7.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.04 | -0.34% | $35.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -4.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.04 | 0.68% | $23.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.61% | -2.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.04 | -2.99% | $20.10 | 9 | no | yes | -7.86% | -5.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.81% | $16.09 | 5 | yes | yes | -7.21% | +0.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 2.66% | $18.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.45% | -0.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.28% | $17.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.56% | +3.56% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -1.71% | $7.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.78% | -3.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.75% | $10.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.83% | -1.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -2.55% | $10.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.81% | -1.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -1.34% | $15.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.40% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -1.76% | $15.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.08% | +5.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.11% | $18.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.71% | -0.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.97% | $19.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.22% | +7.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.55% | $19.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.57% | -2.54% |
- -0.71%
- +23.48%
- +5.67%
- -4.18%
- +7.51%
- +7.26%
- -4.26%
- -2.72%
- -5.32%
- +0.93%
- -0.35%
- +3.56%
- -3.36%
- -1.65%
- -1.89%
- -3.63%
- +5.01%
- -0.95%
- +7.30%
- -2.54%
TDS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
TDS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with TDS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $8.00
- After-tax dividend
- $5.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$8.68
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-3.48
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.04%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.04%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-2.0%
TDS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical TDS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TDS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.88% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.70% | |
| +1.74% | |
| +2.44% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.18% | |
| -5.32% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +22.85% | |
| +0.09% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.