Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TJX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$230,546.93
Method range
$15.77 – $230,546.93
median $156.85
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $230,546.93 | +143,355.25% |
| Exit multiple | $132.70 | -17.43% |
| Analyst target | $181.00 | +12.63% |
| Graham number | $15.77 | -90.19% |
- Forward DCF$230,546.93
- Exit multiple$132.70
- Analyst target$181.00
- Graham number$15.77
Stock price
$160.71
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.41
3Y FCF CAGR
27.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$55.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -188.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
27.5%
Your model implies
42.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 27% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 37.4% | 35.7% | 33.9% | 31.7% | 29.1% |
| 6.6% | 41.3% | 40.0% | 38.5% | 36.9% | 35.0% |
| 7.6% | 44.9% | 43.8% | 42.5% | 41.2% | 39.7% |
| 8.6% | 48.1% | 47.1% | 46.1% | 45.0% | 43.7% |
| 9.6% | 51.1% | 50.2% | 49.3% | 48.4% | 47.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.62
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
TJX Companies (TJX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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