Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TJX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$222,081.71
Method range
$15.77 – $222,081.71
median $157.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $222,081.71 | +142,800.53% |
| Exit multiple | $132.49 | -14.75% |
| Analyst target | $182.75 | +17.59% |
| Graham number | $15.77 | -89.86% |
- Forward DCF$222,081.71
- Exit multiple$132.49
- Analyst target$182.75
- Graham number$15.77
Stock price
$155.41
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.41
3Y FCF CAGR
27.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$53.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -188.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
27.5%
Your model implies
42.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 27% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 37.5% | 35.9% | 34.1% | 32.0% | 29.6% |
| 6.8% | 41.4% | 40.1% | 38.7% | 37.1% | 35.3% |
| 7.8% | 44.8% | 43.7% | 42.6% | 41.3% | 39.8% |
| 8.8% | 48.0% | 47.1% | 46.0% | 45.0% | 43.8% |
| 9.8% | 51.0% | 50.1% | 49.2% | 48.3% | 47.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.26B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.62
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
TJX Companies (TJX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.43% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.13% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History10 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.