Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TPR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$11.27
Method range
$11.27 – $176.08
median $46.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $11.27 | -92.16% |
| Exit multiple | $82.49 | -42.61% |
| Analyst target | $176.08 | +22.51% |
| Graham number | $11.35 | -92.11% |
- Forward DCF$11.27
- Exit multiple$82.49
- Analyst target$176.08
- Graham number$11.35
Stock price
$143.73
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.92
3Y FCF CAGR
3.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10.84
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
41.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,225.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.6%
Your model implies
41.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.9% | 37.5% | 36.8% | 36.0% | 35.2% | 34.3% |
| 10.9% | 40.0% | 39.4% | 38.7% | 37.9% | 37.2% |
| 11.9% | 42.4% | 41.8% | 41.2% | 40.5% | 39.8% |
| 12.9% | 44.6% | 44.1% | 43.5% | 42.9% | 42.3% |
| 13.9% | 46.8% | 46.3% | 45.8% | 45.3% | 44.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.44
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Tapestry (TPR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.46% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.11% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.