Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TSCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$86.51
Method range
$5.80 – $86.51
median $43.30
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $86.51 | +194.64% |
| Exit multiple | $47.20 | +60.77% |
| Analyst target | $39.40 | +34.20% |
| Graham number | $5.80 | -80.26% |
- Forward DCF$86.51
- Exit multiple$47.20
- Analyst target$39.40
- Graham number$5.80
Stock price
$29.36
EPS (TTM)
$2.04
5Y EPS CAGR
10.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$86.51
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-3.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 66.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
10.1%
Your model implies
-3.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
-0.3%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -9.3% | -11.0% | -13.2% |
| 6.0% | -4.1% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -7.3% | -8.7% |
| 7.0% | -1.8% | -2.5% | -3.3% | -4.2% | -5.2% |
| 8.0% | 0.3% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 9.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | -0.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.75B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Tractor Supply (TSCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.57% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.20% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.