Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TXRH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$9,759.07
Method range
$31.14 – $9,759.07
median $176.47
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $9,759.07 | +4,997.98% |
| Exit multiple | $159.94 | -16.45% |
| Analyst target | $193.00 | +0.82% |
| Graham number | $31.14 | -83.73% |
- Forward DCF$9,759.07
- Exit multiple$159.94
- Analyst target$193.00
- Graham number$31.14
Stock price
$191.43
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.71
3Y FCF CAGR
7.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$67.21
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -184.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.7%
Your model implies
21.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| 7.7% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| 8.7% | 23.1% | 22.3% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| 9.6% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 22.5% |
| 10.7% | 27.7% | 27.1% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 25.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.48
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.75B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.80
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.18% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.49% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.