Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UDR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$471.15
Method range
$11.45 – $471.15
median $71.36
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $471.15 | +1,091.58% |
| Exit multiple | $101.50 | +156.70% |
| Analyst target | $41.22 | +4.25% |
| Graham number | $11.45 | -71.05% |
- Forward DCF$471.15
- Exit multiple$101.50
- Analyst target$41.22
- Graham number$11.45
Stock price
$39.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.26
3Y FCF CAGR
3.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4.82
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -720.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.0%
Your model implies
30.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 26.4% | 25.1% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 20.0% |
| 7.1% | 29.7% | 28.6% | 27.5% | 26.2% | 24.7% |
| 8.1% | 32.7% | 31.8% | 30.8% | 29.7% | 28.5% |
| 9.1% | 35.5% | 34.7% | 33.8% | 32.9% | 31.9% |
| 10.1% | 38.0% | 37.3% | 36.6% | 35.8% | 34.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$6.15B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.70
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
UDR (UDR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.97% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.64% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.