Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UDR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$472.25
Method range
$11.45 – $472.25
median $63.79
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $472.25 | +1,104.73% |
| Exit multiple | $88.29 | +125.22% |
| Analyst target | $39.29 | +0.23% |
| Graham number | $11.45 | -70.80% |
- Forward DCF$472.25
- Exit multiple$88.29
- Analyst target$39.29
- Graham number$11.45
Stock price
$39.20
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.26
3Y FCF CAGR
3.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -711.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.0%
Your model implies
30.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 26.2% | 24.9% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 19.9% |
| 7.1% | 29.6% | 28.5% | 27.3% | 26.0% | 24.5% |
| 8.1% | 32.6% | 31.6% | 30.7% | 29.6% | 28.4% |
| 9.1% | 35.3% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 32.8% | 31.8% |
| 10.1% | 37.9% | 37.2% | 36.4% | 35.6% | 34.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$6.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.72
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
UDR (UDR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation