Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UHT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$14.65
Method range
$9.34 – $49.04
median $14.65
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $14.65 | -66.18% |
| Exit multiple | $49.04 | +13.23% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $9.34 | -78.44% |
- Forward DCF$14.65
- Exit multiple$49.04
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$9.34
Stock price
$43.31
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.86
3Y FCF CAGR
8.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$22.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
17.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -93.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.9%
Your model implies
17.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| 7.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| 8.9% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| 9.9% | 21.3% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| 10.9% | 23.4% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 21.7% | 21.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.25
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$379M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.85
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.