Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UHT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$14.75
Method range
$9.34 – $48.91
median $14.75
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $14.75 | -64.19% |
| Exit multiple | $48.91 | +18.70% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $9.34 | -77.33% |
- Forward DCF$14.75
- Exit multiple$48.91
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$9.34
Stock price
$41.20
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.86
3Y FCF CAGR
8.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$22.55
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
16.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -82.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.9%
Your model implies
16.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| 7.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
| 8.9% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| 9.9% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 17.8% |
| 10.9% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.23
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$379M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.86
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation