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Fair Value for U.S. Bancorp (USB)

See growth priced into U.S. Bancorp (USB): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what USB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$113.54

Margin of safety
+43.22% vs current price $64.47

Method range

$36.98 $113.54

median $62.79

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$113.54
  • Exit multiple$56.25
  • Analyst target$69.33
  • Graham number$36.98

Stock price

$64.47

EPS (TTM)

$5.00

5Y EPS CAGR

8.5%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$113.54

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

0.9%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 43.2% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

8.5%

Your model implies

0.9%

Next-year analyst consensus

4.3%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.6%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.6%-1.9%-2.5%-3.2%-4.0%-4.8%
8.6%0.0%-0.5%-1.1%-1.7%-2.4%
9.6%1.8%1.4%0.9%0.4%-0.2%
10.6%3.5%3.1%2.7%2.2%1.7%
11.6%5.1%4.8%4.4%4.0%3.6%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday11.5
5Y low11.0
Median11.8
5Y high13.2
P/SToday1.9
5Y low1.6
Median1.9
5Y high3.5
EV/EBITDAToday11.1· at high
5Y low9.2
Median10.4
5Y high11.1

PEG

0.78

Low vs growth

Net debt

$31B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.98

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 2.84 to 5.10 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions