Universal Corporation (UVV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 4 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.77), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, UVV sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 13, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.83.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 80%-15pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 4d+3.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.77+0.38 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 80% | -15pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 4d | +3.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.77 | +0.38 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.53% | -0.89pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.94% | +0.18pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 22 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.83 |
| Per-event yield | 1.58% |
| Annualized yield | 6.31% |
| Previously paid | Apr 15, 2026 ($0.82) |
| Last record date | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 4, 2026 |
UVV Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Universal Corporation (UVV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.82 | -2.04% | $52.53 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +1.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | -1.34% | $54.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.76% | +1.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | -1.66% | $53.59 | 6 | no | yes | -3.15% | +1.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -2.41% | $58.41 | >30 | no | no | -8.22% | -4.54% | |
| Q2 | $0.81 | -1.06% | $52.73 | 6 | no | yes | -4.15% | +4.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.81 | -1.45% | $50.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +4.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.81 | -1.11% | $51.44 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.64% | -0.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.81 | -1.25% | $48.00 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.62% | +3.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.80 | -1.89% | $50.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.81% | -1.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | -1.99% | $65.22 | >30 | no | no | -11.61% | -6.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -1.40% | $47.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.87% | +0.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.80 | -1.72% | $50.53 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.04% | -0.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.79 | -1.17% | $52.94 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +3.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.79 | -0.36% | $53.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | +3.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.79 | -2.10% | $47.03 | 7 | no | yes | -7.21% | +1.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.79 | -1.44% | $59.21 | >30 | no | no | -11.03% | -7.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.78 | -1.28% | $60.24 | 8 | no | yes | -4.53% | -1.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | -3.18% | $56.95 | 6 | no | yes | -3.51% | +1.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -1.21% | $50.61 | 22 | no | yes | -4.33% | -0.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.54% | $55.56 | >30 | no | no | -8.82% | -3.29% |
- +1.31%
- +1.41%
- +1.68%
- -4.54%
- +4.19%
- +4.37%
- -0.49%
- +3.29%
- -1.60%
- -6.29%
- +0.34%
- -0.30%
- +3.34%
- +3.50%
- +1.13%
- -7.41%
- -1.03%
- +1.76%
- -0.95%
- -3.29%
UVV Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 1 | 5% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
UVV Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with UVV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $166.00
- After-tax dividend
- $107.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$10.51
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$97.39
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.93%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~46.7%
UVV Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical UVV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · UVV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.29% | |
| -0.95% | |
| +1.76% | |
| -1.03% | |
| -7.41% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.49% | |
| +1.49% | |
| +1.58% | |
| +1.70% | |
| -6.29% | |
| +1.60% | |
| +1.69% | |
| +1.57% | |
| +1.61% | |
| +4.19% | |
| -4.54% | |
| +1.68% | |
| +1.50% | |
| +1.56% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.