Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UVV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$5.63
Method range
$5.63 – $58.84
median $42.03
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $5.63 | -89.52% |
| Exit multiple | $58.84 | +9.47% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $42.03 | -21.80% |
- Forward DCF$5.63
- Exit multiple$58.84
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$42.03
Stock price
$53.75
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.13
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$225.72
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-10.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 76.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | -13.3% | -14.1% | -15.1% | -16.3% | -17.7% |
| 6.5% | -11.1% | -11.8% | -12.5% | -13.3% | -14.3% |
| 7.5% | -9.2% | -9.7% | -10.3% | -11.0% | -11.7% |
| 8.5% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -8.4% | -9.0% | -9.6% |
| 9.5% | -5.9% | -6.3% | -6.7% | -7.2% | -7.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.03
Low vs growth
Net debt
$878M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.57
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Corporation (UVV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile6.12% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.