Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what UVV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$5.70
Method range
$5.70 – $58.90
median $42.03
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $5.70 | -89.40% |
| Exit multiple | $58.90 | +9.56% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $42.03 | -21.81% |
- Forward DCF$5.70
- Exit multiple$58.90
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$42.03
Stock price
$53.76
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.13
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$230.92
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-10.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 76.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | -13.5% | -14.4% | -15.4% | -16.6% | -18.1% |
| 6.4% | -11.3% | -12.0% | -12.7% | -13.6% | -14.6% |
| 7.4% | -9.4% | -9.9% | -10.5% | -11.2% | -12.0% |
| 8.4% | -7.7% | -8.1% | -8.6% | -9.2% | -9.8% |
| 9.4% | -6.1% | -6.5% | -6.9% | -7.3% | -7.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.03
Low vs growth
Net debt
$878M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.57
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Universal Corporation (UVV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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