VICI Properties (VICI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.73), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, VICI sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 17, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.73+0.29 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.73 | +0.29 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.25% | -0.38pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.96% | +0.75pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.45 |
| Per-event yield | 1.60% |
| Annualized yield | 6.85% |
| Previously paid | Mar 19, 2026 ($0.45) |
| Last record date | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 9, 2026 |
VICI Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for VICI Properties (VICI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.45 | -1.71% | $28.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.52% | -1.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.45% | $28.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +0.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -1.38% | $32.60 | 8 | no | yes | -3.65% | -0.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | -1.24% | $32.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +0.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -1.05% | $32.38 | 8 | no | yes | -3.00% | -0.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -2.20% | $30.93 | >30 | no | no | -8.76% | -4.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.43 | -1.22% | $33.71 | >30 | no | no | -3.62% | -0.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -1.28% | $28.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +0.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | -1.93% | $28.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +4.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.38% | $31.80 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.23% | +2.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.94% | $30.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.87% | -5.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -1.19% | $31.91 | 9 | no | yes | -4.42% | -1.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -1.62% | $31.53 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.96% | +1.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.33% | $33.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.28% | -0.97% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -0.18% | $32.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.01% | -5.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -2.04% | $29.86 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.55% | +1.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -1.30% | $27.61 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.08% | +6.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -1.01% | $28.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.12% | +5.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.44% | $29.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.95% | -3.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.07% | $31.90 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.26% | -1.72% |
- -1.74%
- +0.35%
- -0.34%
- +0.94%
- -0.21%
- -4.07%
- -0.70%
- +0.73%
- +4.12%
- +2.50%
- -5.47%
- -1.63%
- +1.78%
- -0.97%
- -5.18%
- +1.24%
- +6.12%
- +5.98%
- -3.71%
- -1.72%
VICI Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
VICI Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with VICI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $90.00
- After-tax dividend
- $58.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$5.62
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$52.88
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.94%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~47.4%
VICI Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical VICI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · VICI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.03% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +1.30% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.24% | |
| -1.63% | |
| +1.34% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.43% | |
| +1.47% | |
| -0.70% | |
| -4.07% | |
| -0.21% | |
| +1.34% | |
| -0.34% | |
| +1.59% | |
| +1.60% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.