Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what VICI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$85.25
Method range
$22.02 – $85.25
median $33.59
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $85.25 | +205.99% |
| Exit multiple | $34.97 | +25.53% |
| Analyst target | $32.20 | +15.58% |
| Graham number | $22.02 | -20.97% |
- Forward DCF$85.25
- Exit multiple$34.97
- Analyst target$32.20
- Graham number$22.02
Stock price
$27.86
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.59
3Y FCF CAGR
11.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$21.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
14.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -29.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.1%
Your model implies
14.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| 7.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| 8.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% |
| 9.0% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| 10.0% | 20.7% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net debt
$17.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.70
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
VICI Properties (VICI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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