VZ dividend capture — median 5d pre-ex touch, 70% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Verizon (VZ) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 70% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 5 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.99), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, VZ sits noticeably below the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 9, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
70%
Median days-to-touch
5d
Signal-to-noise
0.99
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 70% | -20pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 5d | +4.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.99 | +0.70 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.48% | -0.96pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.14% | -1.20pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.71
Per-event yield
1.67%
Annualized yield
6.64%
Previously paid
Jul 10, 2026 ($0.71)
Last record date
Jul 10, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 3, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Verizon (VZ). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.71 | -1.49% | $42.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.13% | +4.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | -1.44% | $47.78 | 12 | no | yes | -7.35% | -1.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.69 | -1.58% | $40.46 | 14 | no | yes | -4.40% | -1.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.69 | -1.42% | $40.83 | 7 | no | yes | -5.98% | +1.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -1.74% | $42.61 | 8 | no | yes | -4.51% | -2.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -0.93% | $42.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +4.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.95% | $38.94 | 6 | no | yes | -3.47% | +1.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -1.52% | $44.11 | 7 | no | yes | -7.62% | +0.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.02% | $41.30 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.30% | +3.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.61% | $41.73 | >30 | no | no | -7.60% | -3.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -2.12% | $40.10 | 10 | no | yes | -6.33% | -1.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -2.77% | $31.82 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.28% | -1.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -2.45% | $37.13 | >30 | no | no | -15.84% | -6.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -1.52% | $40.11 | >30 | no | no | -7.80% | -0.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -1.92% | $42.19 | >30 | no | no | -6.57% | -1.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | 0.18% | $39.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.07% | -5.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.64 | -1.07% | $51.51 | >30 | no | no | -4.85% | -0.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.64 | -1.41% | $53.20 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.18% | +2.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.64 | -0.93% | $53.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +0.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.64 | -0.90% | $54.53 | >30 | no | no | -6.73% | -3.61% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 4 | 20% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 6 | 30% |
Pre-filled with VZ's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical VZ ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.43%
Win rate (20 trades)
50%
Cumulative P&L
-8.55%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+1.70%
Best event
+2.09%
Worst event
-6.65%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · VZ (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.61% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.20% | |
| -0.74% | |
| +1.66% | |
| -1.63% | |
| -0.59% | |
| -6.65% | |
| +2.09% | |
| -1.41% | |
| -3.10% | |
| +1.61% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.33% | |
| +1.58% | |
| -2.31% | |
| +1.00% | |
| -1.71% | |
| -1.09% | |
| +1.67% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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