Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WELL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$13.77
Method range
$13.77 – $351.46
median $140.73
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $13.77 | -94.38% |
| Exit multiple | $351.46 | +43.43% |
| Analyst target | $243.18 | -0.76% |
| Graham number | $38.29 | -84.37% |
- Forward DCF$13.77
- Exit multiple$351.46
- Analyst target$243.18
- Graham number$38.29
Stock price
$245.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.40
3Y FCF CAGR
9.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.58
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
52.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2,016.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.2%
Your model implies
52.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 47.2% | 45.8% | 44.2% | 42.4% | 40.3% |
| 7.5% | 51.0% | 49.8% | 48.5% | 47.0% | 45.4% |
| 8.5% | 54.5% | 53.4% | 52.3% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| 9.5% | 57.6% | 56.7% | 55.7% | 54.7% | 53.6% |
| 10.5% | 60.6% | 59.8% | 58.9% | 58.0% | 57.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$16.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.76
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Welltower (WELL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile1.21% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.