Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WELL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$13.83
Method range
$13.83 – $352.22
median $138.70
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $13.83 | -93.32% |
| Exit multiple | $352.22 | +70.21% |
| Analyst target | $239.11 | +15.55% |
| Graham number | $38.29 | -81.50% |
- Forward DCF$13.83
- Exit multiple$352.22
- Analyst target$239.11
- Graham number$38.29
Stock price
$206.93
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.40
3Y FCF CAGR
9.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$11.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
49.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1676.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.2%
Your model implies
49.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 44.5% | 43.1% | 41.5% | 39.8% | 37.7% |
| 7.5% | 48.3% | 47.1% | 45.8% | 44.3% | 42.8% |
| 8.5% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 49.5% | 48.3% | 47.0% |
| 9.4% | 54.8% | 53.9% | 52.9% | 51.9% | 50.8% |
| 10.5% | 57.7% | 56.9% | 56.1% | 55.2% | 54.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$16.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.78
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Welltower (WELL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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