WFC dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Wells Fargo (WFC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.25), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WFC sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.50.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.25
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.25 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.59% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.12% | +1.28pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 17 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.50
Per-event yield
0.63%
Annualized yield
2.10%
Previously paid
May 8, 2026 ($0.45)
Last record date
May 8, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Wells Fargo (WFC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.20% | $79.16 | 17 | no | yes | -8.06% | -6.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.80% | $92.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.52% | -4.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.08% | $86.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -0.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | 0.08% | $77.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +0.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.23% | $73.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.75% | +4.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.18% | $81.42 | >30 | no | no | -5.02% | -1.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.27% | $69.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +7.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.87% | $52.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +5.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.80% | $61.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.22% | +0.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -0.72% | $50.18 | 11 | no | yes | -5.44% | -2.95% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | 0.33% | $39.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +2.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -0.86% | $45.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.56% | -2.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -2.51% | $38.65 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -0.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -0.02% | $47.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +1.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -1.45% | $46.88 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.14% | +2.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.89% | $43.89 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.10% | +3.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -2.13% | $45.98 | 17 | no | yes | -11.00% | -8.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.16% | $55.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +6.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.87% | $52.00 | >30 | no | no | -5.37% | -2.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.22% | $46.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.30% | +11.27% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with WFC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical WFC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.62%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-12.44%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+78.85%
Best event
+0.88%
Worst event
-8.53%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WFC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| -2.33% | |
| +0.45% | |
| -8.53% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.88% | |
| -2.95% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -1.28% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.49% | |
| -6.68% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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