Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ADBE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$306.29
Method range
$53.77 – $874.98
median $320.32
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $306.29 | +21.82% |
| Exit multiple | $874.98 | +247.99% |
| Analyst target | $334.35 | +32.97% |
| Graham number | $53.77 | -78.62% |
- Forward DCF$306.29
- Exit multiple$874.98
- Analyst target$334.35
- Graham number$53.77
Stock price
$251.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.12
3Y FCF CAGR
12.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$163.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -53.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.6%
Your model implies
18.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| 10.6% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.4% |
| 11.6% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| 12.6% | 21.5% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| 13.6% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 22.5% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.96
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.40
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Adobe (ADBE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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