Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AGCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$273.95
Method range
$31.80 – $273.95
median $94.22
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $273.95 | +133.58% |
| Exit multiple | $59.12 | -49.59% |
| Analyst target | $129.33 | +10.27% |
| Graham number | $31.80 | -72.88% |
- Forward DCF$273.95
- Exit multiple$59.12
- Analyst target$129.33
- Graham number$31.80
Stock price
$117.28
EPS (TTM)
$10.35
5Y EPS CAGR
11.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$273.95
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-0.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 57.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.5%
Your model implies
-0.1%
Next-year analyst consensus
-41.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | -2.8% | -3.3% | -3.9% | -4.6% | -5.3% |
| 9.0% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -3.1% |
| 10.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 11.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| 12.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.82B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.07
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
AGCO (AGCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.02% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.00% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.