Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AGCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$275.85
Method range
$31.80 – $275.85
median $91.41
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $275.85 | +136.97% |
| Exit multiple | $58.19 | -50.01% |
| Analyst target | $124.63 | +7.06% |
| Graham number | $31.80 | -72.68% |
- Forward DCF$275.85
- Exit multiple$58.19
- Analyst target$124.63
- Graham number$31.80
Stock price
$116.41
EPS (TTM)
$10.35
5Y EPS CAGR
11.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$275.85
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-0.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 57.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.5%
Your model implies
-0.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
-42.1%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | -2.9% | -3.5% | -4.1% | -4.8% | -5.6% |
| 9.0% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 10.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.3% |
| 11.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| 12.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.08
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
AGCO (AGCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation