Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AIT sits noticeably below the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-6pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.08-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -6pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.59% | -0.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.51 |
| Per-event yield | 0.18% |
| Annualized yield | 0.63% |
| Previously paid | Feb 13, 2026 ($0.51) |
| Last record date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Feb 27, 2026 |
AIT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.00% | $279.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +0.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.35% | $250.89 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.85% | -0.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -1.13% | $273.04 | >30 | no | no | -6.61% | -2.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.53% | $229.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.69% | -2.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -0.01% | $263.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.19% | -6.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | 0.59% | $270.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.12% | +2.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -2.94% | $198.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.90% | +2.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | 0.70% | $195.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +3.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | 0.74% | $182.08 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.29% | +3.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | 2.03% | $161.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.49% | -0.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -0.58% | $152.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.51% | -3.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.20% | $127.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +1.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -0.77% | $143.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.39% | -2.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.80% | $126.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +2.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -1.56% | $118.89 | >30 | no | no | -7.81% | -4.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | 0.38% | $104.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.15% | -2.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.15% | $94.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.66% | +3.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -0.27% | $104.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.79% | +1.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | -0.37% | $91.28 | 11 | no | yes | -6.33% | -4.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -0.11% | $99.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.50% | -2.63% |
- +0.08%
- -0.60%
- -2.00%
- -2.41%
- -6.53%
- +2.41%
- +2.11%
- +3.25%
- +3.38%
- -0.19%
- -3.72%
- +1.42%
- -2.53%
- +2.83%
- -4.80%
- -2.96%
- +3.40%
- +1.79%
- -4.14%
- -2.63%
AIT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
AIT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AIT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $102.00
- After-tax dividend
- $66.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$55.81
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$10.49
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.02%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~0.9%
AIT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AIT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AIT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.33% | |
| -4.14% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.33% | |
| -4.80% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.20% | |
| -2.00% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.18% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.