Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AIT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$22,704.71
Method range
$54.45 – $22,704.71
median $273.73
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $22,704.71 | +6,549.69% |
| Exit multiple | $207.06 | -39.36% |
| Analyst target | $340.40 | -0.30% |
| Graham number | $54.45 | -84.05% |
- Forward DCF$22,704.71
- Exit multiple$207.06
- Analyst target$340.40
- Graham number$54.45
Stock price
$341.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.54
3Y FCF CAGR
20.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$156.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
31.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -118.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
20.2%
Your model implies
31.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 26.8% | 25.7% | 24.5% | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| 7.8% | 29.9% | 28.9% | 27.9% | 26.8% | 25.6% |
| 8.8% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 31.0% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| 9.8% | 35.2% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 32.9% | 32.0% |
| 10.8% | 37.6% | 37.0% | 36.3% | 35.6% | 34.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.49
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$184M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.84
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.11% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.57% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.