Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AIT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$22,859.04
Method range
$54.45 – $22,859.04
median $254.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $22,859.04 | +7,150.16% |
| Exit multiple | $187.57 | -40.51% |
| Analyst target | $322.33 | +2.23% |
| Graham number | $54.45 | -82.73% |
- Forward DCF$22,859.04
- Exit multiple$187.57
- Analyst target$322.33
- Graham number$54.45
Stock price
$315.29
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.54
3Y FCF CAGR
20.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$156.97
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
29.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -100.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
20.2%
Your model implies
29.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 25.7% | 24.6% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| 7.8% | 28.7% | 27.7% | 26.7% | 25.6% | 24.4% |
| 8.8% | 31.4% | 30.6% | 29.7% | 28.8% | 27.8% |
| 9.8% | 34.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 31.7% | 30.8% |
| 10.8% | 36.4% | 35.8% | 35.1% | 34.4% | 33.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.53
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$184M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.85
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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