Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AIV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$4,234,826.25
Method range
$10.00 – $4,234,826.25
median $89.56
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $4,234,826.25 | +139,763,142.53% |
| Exit multiple | $167.81 | +5,438.38% |
| Analyst target | $10.00 | +230.03% |
| Graham number | $11.31 | +273.15% |
- Forward DCF$4,234,826.25
- Exit multiple$167.81
- Analyst target$10.00
- Graham number$11.31
Stock price
$3.03
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.03
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.53
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -468.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 28.6% | 27.8% | 26.9% | 25.9% | 24.9% |
| 9.5% | 31.2% | 30.5% | 29.7% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| 10.5% | 33.6% | 33.0% | 32.3% | 31.6% | 30.8% |
| 11.5% | 35.9% | 35.3% | 34.7% | 34.1% | 33.4% |
| 12.5% | 38.1% | 37.6% | 37.0% | 36.4% | 35.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.10
Low vs growth
Net debt
$476M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.19
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Apartment Investment and Management (AIV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation