AIZ dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Assurant (AIZ) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AIZ sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 3, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.50% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.76% | +0.64pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 10 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.88
Per-event yield
0.34%
Annualized yield
1.36%
Previously paid
Jun 8, 2026 ($0.88)
Last record date
Jun 8, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Assurant (AIZ). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.88 | -1.07% | $257.35 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.32% | +1.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | 0.68% | $217.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +2.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.44% | $228.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.78% | -2.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.80 | -0.70% | $215.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.74% | -1.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.80 | -0.23% | $203.47 | >30 | no | no | -4.32% | -1.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | -1.47% | $215.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.91% | -0.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.60% | $224.22 | >30 | no | no | -7.51% | -2.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.72 | 0.02% | $196.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.95% | -1.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.72 | -0.67% | $173.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.78% | -2.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.72 | -0.35% | $169.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +3.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.72 | 0.38% | $163.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.43% | +3.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.16% | $140.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.01% | +0.24% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.85% | $125.15 | 6 | no | yes | -5.35% | -1.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.98% | $128.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.80% | -0.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | 0.46% | $127.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +1.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -0.33% | $165.77 | 10 | no | yes | -5.41% | -3.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -0.34% | $180.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.44% | +2.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | 0.23% | $163.50 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.23% | +4.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -3.29% | $161.92 | >30 | no | no | -7.82% | -5.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -0.35% | $167.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.41% | +2.28% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with AIZ's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AIZ ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.40%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-8.08%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+59.62%
Best event
+0.55%
Worst event
-5.56%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AIZ (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| -5.56% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.38% | |
| -3.73% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -1.06% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.37% | |
| -2.72% | |
| +0.37% | |
| -1.31% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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