ALRS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Alerus Financial (ALRS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.31), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ALRS sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 25, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.31
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.31 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.39% | +0.20pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.19% | +0.21pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.22
Per-event yield
0.72%
Annualized yield
2.76%
Previously paid
Jun 26, 2026 ($0.22)
Last record date
Jun 26, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Alerus Financial (ALRS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.22 | -1.96% | $30.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.51% | +2.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -1.20% | $24.16 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.89% | +0.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.91% | $22.08 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +6.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.48% | $22.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.33% | -2.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.72% | $22.26 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +1.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | 3.73% | $18.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | +3.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -1.67% | $19.77 | 12 | no | yes | -9.00% | -2.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 0.71% | $21.12 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.28% | +5.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -2.55% | $18.80 | 10 | no | yes | -3.40% | -1.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.86% | $22.17 | 6 | no | yes | -7.31% | -0.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -1.07% | $22.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.49% | -3.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.11% | $18.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.49% | -2.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.16% | $18.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.76% | +0.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 5.85% | $16.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.00% | +3.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -1.62% | $23.45 | 6 | no | yes | -5.59% | +0.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.27% | $22.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.11% | +1.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -2.51% | $23.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.68% | +4.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | -1.16% | $29.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.36% | -1.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | -0.73% | $28.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +1.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | -0.07% | $27.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +5.33% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with ALRS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ALRS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.50%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+10.03%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+25.55%
Best event
+1.10%
Worst event
-2.88%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ALRS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.58% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +0.84% | |
| -0.00% | |
| -1.12% | |
| +0.95% | |
| -2.88% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.72% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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