Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMZN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$530.70
Method range
$51.05 – $530.70
median $355.41
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $530.70 | +116.75% |
| Exit multiple | $399.07 | +62.98% |
| Analyst target | $311.76 | +27.33% |
| Graham number | $51.05 | -79.15% |
- Forward DCF$530.70
- Exit multiple$399.07
- Analyst target$311.76
- Graham number$51.05
Stock price
$244.85
EPS (TTM)
$8.36
5Y EPS CAGR
28.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$530.70
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
16.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 53.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
28.0%
Your model implies
16.8%
Next-year analyst consensus
5.8%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
| 11.0% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| 12.0% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| 13.0% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| 14.0% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.44
Low vs growth
Net debt
$66.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Amazon (AMZN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.