Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ANDE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$5,826.71
Method range
$28.62 – $5,826.71
median $71.63
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $5,826.71 | +7,902.62% |
| Exit multiple | $60.75 | -16.56% |
| Analyst target | $82.50 | +13.31% |
| Graham number | $28.62 | -60.70% |
- Forward DCF$5,826.71
- Exit multiple$60.75
- Analyst target$82.50
- Graham number$28.62
Stock price
$72.81
EPS (TTM)
$3.76
5Y EPS CAGR
64.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$5826.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
2.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 98.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
64.8%
Your model implies
2.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
40.6%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | -0.9% | -1.9% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -6.0% |
| 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | -0.0% | -1.0% | -2.2% |
| 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$945M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.65
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Andersons (ANDE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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