AptarGroup (ATR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.18), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ATR sits roughly in line with the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 5, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.18in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.18 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.39% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.97% | +1.44pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.48 |
| Per-event yield | 0.39% |
| Annualized yield | 1.54% |
| Previously paid | Feb 4, 2026 ($0.48) |
| Last record date | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Feb 25, 2026 |
ATR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for AptarGroup (ATR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.48 | 0.87% | $124.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +12.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.25% | $130.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.63% | -4.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.43% | $161.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.20% | -2.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -1.00% | $149.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +2.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.37% | $157.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.27% | -9.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | 0.40% | $167.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +0.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.91% | $144.14 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +2.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -0.14% | $140.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +4.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | 0.09% | $132.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.18% | -0.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -0.74% | $123.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.42% | +0.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.33% | $120.56 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +1.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.01% | $120.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.88% | -0.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -1.03% | $115.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.70% | -4.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -1.45% | $97.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.46% | -0.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.78% | $103.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +2.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.89% | $115.40 | 4 | yes | yes | -7.57% | -1.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -0.66% | $117.48 | 6 | no | yes | -4.29% | -0.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.16% | $127.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.17% | -0.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.28% | $129.91 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.76% | -0.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.54% | $150.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +2.97% |
- +12.73%
- -4.01%
- -2.52%
- +2.57%
- -9.86%
- +0.42%
- +2.32%
- +4.02%
- -0.03%
- +0.00%
- +1.73%
- -0.40%
- -4.06%
- -0.30%
- +2.93%
- -1.03%
- -0.47%
- -0.01%
- -0.25%
- +2.97%
ATR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
ATR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ATR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $96.00
- After-tax dividend
- $62.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$24.93
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$37.47
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.15%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~7.6%
ATR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ATR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ATR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.25% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| -0.47% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.