Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ATR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$343.77
Method range
$32.37 – $343.77
median $167.74
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $343.77 | +203.25% |
| Exit multiple | $147.48 | +30.10% |
| Analyst target | $188.00 | +65.84% |
| Graham number | $32.37 | -71.44% |
- Forward DCF$343.77
- Exit multiple$147.48
- Analyst target$188.00
- Graham number$32.37
Stock price
$113.36
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.83
3Y FCF CAGR
53.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$880.89
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 87.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
53.0%
Your model implies
23.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 53% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 10.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% |
| 5.6% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| 6.6% | 26.1% | 24.9% | 23.6% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
| 7.6% | 29.2% | 28.2% | 27.2% | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| 8.6% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 30.3% | 29.3% | 28.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.40
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AptarGroup (ATR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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