Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BF-B is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$23.51
Method range
$4.82 – $35.47
median $23.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $23.51 | -10.13% |
| Exit multiple | $35.47 | +35.58% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $4.82 | -81.58% |
- Forward DCF$23.51
- Exit multiple$35.47
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$4.82
Stock price
$26.16
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.58
3Y FCF CAGR
3.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.99
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
8.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -53.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.6%
Your model implies
8.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | -1.1% |
| 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 6.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| 7.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% |
| 8.3% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Brown-Forman (BF-B) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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