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Price Target for Brown-Forman (BF-B)

Interactive scenarios for Brown-Forman (BF-B) at about $25.22. Default base case lands near $47.45 in 5 years from 7% growth and a 22× exit P/E — about a 13.5% CAGR.

Trading at discount
Analysis

Stock price

$25.22

TTM EPS

$1.51

P/E (TTM)

16.84

Net debt

$1.8B

Beta

0.34

Valuation context

How today's valuation compares to its own 5-year history.

P/E vs 5Y median

Where today's P/E sits versus its trailing five-year median.

-24.3%
Discount
DiscountFair valuePremiumStretched
−50%at median+50%

BF-B trades 24.3% below its 5-year median P/E — cheap vs its own history.

Breakdown5Y low · median · 5Y highToday
P/E
16.822.340.1
16.8
P/S
3.15.58.2
3.1
EV/EBITDA
12.516.828.5
12.5
EPS 5Y
5Y CAGR-4.0%

Scenario calculator

Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.

Whole number from 1 to 10 years.
bear
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
base
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
bull
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.

Base case: with about 7% growth per year and a 22× exit multiple over 5 years, the model lands BF-B near $47.45 — an implied about a 13.5% CAGR.

Your base case implies a $36.01 12-month target. Save it to join the community consensus.

Implied price path (by year)

Paths start at $25.22 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.

At horizon (2031)

  • Bear$32.72
  • Base$47.45
  • Bull$98.82

Sensitivity (base case)

Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.

Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.

Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth12×17×22×27×32×
-3%$16$23$29$36$42
2%$21$29$37$46$54
7%$26$37$47$58$69
12%$33$46$60$73$86
17%$41$57$74$91$107
LegendGreen: >10% above today's priceAmber: within ±10%Red: >10% below today's price

Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).

Annual diluted EPS

GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $1.10 in 2013 to about $1.53 in 2026.

Scale: 1.10 to 2.15 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Diluted EPS year-over-year change

Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +63.3% to a low of -34.4%.

Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus

Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 17 EPS estimates. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not "percent of consensus."

Brown-Forman (BF-B) Key Financials

Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric

Operations

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Relative valuation

How BF-B trades versus its Consumer Defensive peers and its own history. Lower multiples are cheaper; the band marks where each multiple sits between its 5-year low (left) and high (right).

Cheap
  • P/E (TTM)16.5×
    Cheap
  • EV/EBITDA13.0×
    Cheap
  • P/S (TTM)3.0×
    In line

Peers in the Consumer Defensive sector

Compare BF-B against its Consumer Defensive peers on the three core multiples. Lower is cheaper; tap a column to rank the peer set. Open any peer's price target page for its full scenario breakdown. Filtered to active common stock, excluding ETFs and funds.

About the BF-B price target calculator

The BF-B price target calculator projects a future share price by compounding trailing twelve-month earnings per share at an assumed growth rate and applying an exit P/E multiple at the end of the horizon. The stock currently trades at about $25.22, a P/E of roughly 16.8× on TTM EPS of $1.51.

17 analysts cover BF-B for the next fiscal year, with EPS estimates ranging from $1.62 to $1.75 and a consensus average of $1.70. Versus the latest TTM EPS of about $1.51, that consensus implies roughly 12.6% growth next year. That sits a notable shift from the trailing 5-year EPS history of a 4.0% decline per year — one useful sanity check on whether consensus is anchored to history or expecting a regime change.

Frequently asked questions

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