Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BRO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$153.94
Method range
$32.99 – $153.94
median $93.65
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $153.94 | +161.53% |
| Exit multiple | $98.81 | +67.87% |
| Analyst target | $88.50 | +50.36% |
| Graham number | $32.99 | -43.96% |
- Forward DCF$153.94
- Exit multiple$98.81
- Analyst target$88.50
- Graham number$32.99
Stock price
$58.86
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.72
3Y FCF CAGR
12.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$31.62
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -86.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.5%
Your model implies
20.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| 6.7% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.5% |
| 7.7% | 22.5% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| 8.7% | 25.1% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| 9.7% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 26.1% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.21
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.62
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Brown & Brown (BRO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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