Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BRO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$154.10
Method range
$32.99 – $154.10
median $77.43
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $154.10 | +135.67% |
| Exit multiple | $99.85 | +52.70% |
| Analyst target | $55.00 | -15.89% |
| Graham number | $32.99 | -49.55% |
- Forward DCF$154.10
- Exit multiple$99.85
- Analyst target$55.00
- Graham number$32.99
Stock price
$65.39
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.72
3Y FCF CAGR
12.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$31.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
22.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -106.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.5%
Your model implies
22.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% |
| 6.7% | 21.0% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| 7.7% | 23.9% | 23.0% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 19.7% |
| 8.7% | 26.5% | 25.8% | 24.9% | 24.0% | 23.0% |
| 9.7% | 29.0% | 28.3% | 27.6% | 26.8% | 26.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.21
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.84B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.60
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Brown & Brown (BRO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.55% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.99% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.