CCEP dividend capture — median 4d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 10 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 10 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 4 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.78), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CCEP sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 13, 2026 (±6 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
4d
Signal-to-noise
0.78
TL;DR over the most recent 10 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 4d | +2.5d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.78 | +0.40 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.61% | -0.96pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.62% | +1.37pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±6 days.
Dividend
$0.82
Per-event yield
0.90%
Annualized yield
2.54%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.95)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
May 27, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.95 | -0.58% | $90.83 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +4.67% | |
| Q4 | $1.45 | -1.56% | $91.65 | 6 | no | yes | -3.24% | +0.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.88 | -1.14% | $87.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +2.87% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -1.33% | $78.77 | 7 | no | yes | -4.91% | +0.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.79 | -0.67% | $73.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +2.98% | |
| Q4 | $1.23 | -2.37% | $61.53 | 12 | no | yes | -3.61% | +1.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.73 | -0.94% | $65.99 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.00% | +0.74% | |
| Q4 | $1.11 | -3.02% | $51.39 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +4.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -1.35% | $48.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +6.74% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -3.10% | $55.55 | 13 | no | yes | -12.01% | -5.80% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | 1.27% | $39.50 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.18% | +10.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.69 | -1.10% | $51.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.67% | -1.76% | |
| Q2 | $0.69 | -1.21% | $56.92 | 8 | no | yes | -4.20% | -1.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -1.52% | $47.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +3.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.38% | $42.58 | 9 | no | yes | -2.14% | -0.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.31% | $39.00 | 23 | no | yes | -3.28% | -1.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -0.65% | $38.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.43% | +2.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -1.19% | $38.56 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +1.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.41% | $43.56 | 7 | no | yes | -1.77% | -0.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -0.62% | $40.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +2.83% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 6 | 30% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with CCEP's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CCEP ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.36%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
+7.21%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+159.41%
Best event
+2.53%
Worst event
-5.80%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CCEP (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| -0.71% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -1.31% | |
| -0.94% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -1.46% | |
| +1.33% | |
| +2.53% | |
| -5.80% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +2.16% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.53% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +1.05% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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