Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CCEP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,441.75
Method range
$35.23 – $1,441.75
median $93.23
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,441.75 | +1,421.80% |
| Exit multiple | $75.86 | -19.93% |
| Analyst target | $110.60 | +16.74% |
| Graham number | $35.23 | -62.82% |
- Forward DCF$1,441.75
- Exit multiple$75.86
- Analyst target$110.60
- Graham number$35.23
Stock price
$94.74
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.36
3Y FCF CAGR
2.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$76.30
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
5.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -24.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.5%
Your model implies
5.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 1.2% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -3.6% | -6.0% |
| 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | -0.8% |
| 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.60
Low vs growth
Net debt
$9.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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