Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DVA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$238.88
Method range
$10.30 – $238.88
median $189.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $238.88 | +24.31% |
| Exit multiple | $176.52 | -8.14% |
| Analyst target | $202.25 | +5.25% |
| Graham number | $10.30 | -94.64% |
- Forward DCF$238.88
- Exit multiple$176.52
- Analyst target$202.25
- Graham number$10.30
Stock price
$192.16
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.25
3Y FCF CAGR
6.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$66.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -189.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
6.1%
Your model implies
20.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| 8.1% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| 9.1% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| 10.1% | 24.0% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 21.3% |
| 11.1% | 26.1% | 25.6% | 25.0% | 24.4% | 23.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.78
Low vs growth
Net debt
$14.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
DaVita (DVA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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